These are early days but Morsi’s powers are going to be severely resticted by the military on the one hand and the need to garner enough grass root level support to form a unity government on the other. Both these predicaments dictate that Egypt’s march to democracy would be slow and possibly violent in days ahead.
These are delicate times and need to be handled as such. If the Egyptian model works well the region might change for the better. Our posts Arabian Knights – where are they headed and Will the military save Egypt ring true today.
The narrative of this article is to highlight impact of current turmoil in the Arab world, more specifically the three important countries of Egypt, Libya and Syria. A detailed analysis of various ramifications on Asia, apart from spread of radical Islam, has also been discussed. As Richard K. Betts, an academic with close contacts with US intelligence agencies puts it, “the priority [right now] is collection and analysis about what’s going on”.
Af Pak Why It’s Time to Negotiate With the Taliban – The Atlantic opinion Official: Pakistani Troops Kill 54 Militants in NW – Associated Press Al Qaeda Returns to Afghanistan - PBS opinion Pakistan’s Problem: It’s Not British Enough – Daily Telegraph opinion Arab World Keeping Ahead of Qaddafi – New York Times editorial U.S. Faces a Libya [...]
The Libyan mystery deepens with Gadhafi/Gaddafi/Kaddafi/Qaddafi making a televised rhetorical speech threatening the country of consequences of a civil war last night. His speech from an under construction building compared the situation to that of Tienanmen square. He reaffirmed that he was not leaving the country and that he would die as a martyr in Libya.
In our post The Egyptian Intrigue we had presented the historical perspective of the winds of change sweeping the Arab World. The Egyptian fire is spreading across this world amidst speculation that Egypt was a coup by the military “Regime” and not a revolution. This could be a western perception management gimmick but what holds [...]
This weekend, it is all about Egypt till it comes out of the ears. Saving these for posterity Egypt Erupts in Jubilation as Mubarak Steps Down – New York Times Mubarak Steps Down, Jubilation in Cairo Streets – Washington Post Euphoria in Cairo: ‘The Tyrant is Gone’ – Los Angeles Times Egypt’s Mubarak Resigns as [...]
So, in the final analysis it may well be assumed that Egypt may be forced to adopt the Pakistan model in the short term with tacit US approval. There may be another revolution later to take the battle the Iranian way.
Egypt Egypt remains at an impasse Al Jazeera How long the rallies – which are taking place across the country – can hold out has become a crucial question in the crisis gripping Egypt, but the protesters have vowed they will not back down in their demand for Mubarak to step down and end his [...]
“First we have to change everything, then we will see. We will have a transition, then maybe elections in 12 months.” TIME As Mubarak gives the first signal of departure from the politics of Egypt, the world of this ancient nation is on the verge of setting a new example to the Arab world. Tracing [...]