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Resolving Kashmir

October 6, 2010 by  
Filed under Analysis, foreign policy

The Kashmir region (Kashmir valley is left of ...

The Need for Peace

The people of Kashmir have been caught up in the multidimensional battle amongst various interest groups for their very existence. The peaceful valley suffered at the hands ofZia ul Haq‘s aspirations translated through Op Topac in 1989. A mayhem and religious frenzy ensued which massacred innocent Kashmiri Pandits, marginalised the valley and left deep scars on the psyche of the people of the state – hindus, muslims or ladakhis.

Since the giving in to the release of Rubaiyah Syed, the Indian state has continued to give in to the machinations of Pakistan led, supported and funded wars in Kashmir. They always found excuses be they Hazratbal or Amarnath to inflame passions and attempted fracturing the society. The Indian state response has been affected by mismatch in words and deeds borne out of a true desire to effectively deal with the Op Topac designs. Now Ghazwa e Hind – an al Qaeda movement to destabilise India is underway in a big way This is being attemptedthrough sustained use of fanning Islamic propaganda amongst the Indian Muslims led by supporters of Pakistan . A google search of Ghazwa leads upto 35,ooo results all spitting venom and mobilising Muslims across the globe to destabilise and fragment India along religious lines. The recent Ayodhya verdict has been a blow to their designs. But India will offer more opportunities borne out of its vote bank politics, a fractured internal security mechanism and malfeasance of the politicians and bureucrats to the problem at hand.

At the global level Pakistan has leveraged Kashmir well against a resolution of the war in Afghanistan. As per Bruce Riedel, a former CIA officer, “For the U.S., reducing and resolving the India-Pakistan Cold War before it goes hot is critical to stability in South Asia, isolating the jihadi extremists and preventing a war in South Asia that could go nuclear”.

This exactly is the sentiment being exploited by Kayani to blackmail Obama. In an interview to the Rolling Stones Magazine Obama articulated that a US withdrawal from Afghanistan would be bad for both India and Pakistan. To quote:

“I don’t know anybody who has examined the region who thinks that if we completely pulled out of Afghanistan, the Karzai regime collapsed, Kabul was overrun once again by the Taliban, and Sharia law was imposed throughout the country, that we would be safer,” .

“Or the Afghan people would be better off, or Pakistan would be better off, or India would be better off or that we would see a reduction in potential terrorist attacks around the world.

According to Bruce Riedel, Obama’s challenge is to quietly help Islamabad and New Delhi work behind the scenes to get back to the deal Musharraf and Singh negotiated during his November visit. A deal is good for America, India, Pakistan, and especially the Kashmiris, who have suffered enough, he articulates. But he must understand that the reason Gen. Kayani feels emboldened to take a harder line is easy to discern. Tensions deepened after the U.S. elevated Pakistan from “major non-NATO ally” to the linchpin of its Afghan exit strategy, and excluded India from a political solution in Afghanistan.

Prognosis

The Indian establishment, at the outset has to get its act together and reverse the affects of Ghazwa e Hind by actively isolating the sleeper cells and strangulating support for such religious fanaticism to take roots in the Indian Polity. The vested interests of political parties in using religious card needs to be ruthlessly curbed by disciplining and sensitising the society by a series of actions borne out of genuine love for India. The book Power and Love succinctly articulates this. If caste and religion based politics is not shunned, India awaits greater dangers.

The Kashmir package has to be backed by a concerted exercise in public democracy to assuage the feelings of the common man while exposing the terrorist designs of Ghazwa in vitiating the environment. This has thus far only made the people of Kashmir suffer in this cross fire to the advantage of Pakistan. Pakistan needs the valley  to burn more to help it’s cause with the Americans in Afghanistan. This would demand grass root level people oriented programmes shorn of political manipulations.

The state and central agencies involved in restoring normalcy have to rise above inter agency or career based rivalries hurting the larger cause. Their attitudes and dispositions towards genuine rehabilitation of the people are  crucial to marginalising the ill effects of Pakistan’s war in Kashmir. The separists have to be dealt with an iron hand in so far as their militant activities in collusion with ISI are considered.  Analysts say the main preoccupation of the ISI, and the Pakistani military, is the threat from nuclear-armed rival India and it sees the Afghan Taliban as tools to influence events, and limit India’s role, in Afghanistan.Their hand in supporting the cause of Pakistan resulting in innocent killings needs to be exposed and awaam treated with the power of love.

As Martin Luther King put it, ‘Power without love is reckless and abusive, and love without power is sentimental and anemic.’ In his book, Power and Love, the author Kahane argues that love connects and creates opening, potential and opportunity, but power is required for these to be tested and realized. However, dialogue that does not acknowledge and work with power therefore cannot create new social realities. In fact, each needs the other. This couldn’t be more true now in Kashmir than someplace else.

Kuldip Nayar argues, amongst other things that setting up of a high-power commission to go into the security forces’ excesses would give confidence to the Kashmiris and may make them trust that the visit of the parliamentary delegation was not a joy ride. Once New Delhi and Srinagar have come to agree on the terms of a settlement, they should associate Islamabad with it, without which a lasting solution may not be possible – a tough call in the current scenario of mistrust and animosity

Then we have Obama – keen to further his interests domestically by projecting to be the behind the scene interlocutor. Unfortunately, unlike Bush, the Obama administration is divorced of  realities in making overt recommendations of reproachment.

Riedel’s argument that for  U.S., reducing and resolving the India-Pakistan Cold War does make sense but is far removed from the deep rooted animosity and belligerence Kayani and the Pakistan establishment have chosen to support. America chose to isolate India in Afghanistan without considering the larger picture. Now raising the Kashmir issue openly will inflame anti American sentiment in India and complicate any bialteral efforts in the future.

Kashmir thus needs an integrated approach both by India and Pakistan. American indulgence would be counterproductive to Indian experiences of peace initiatives with Pakistan be they the Lahore bus ride or Musharraf’s track two diplomacy.

While India settles down to putting its house in order, the message to America should be unambiguous.

On the lighter side there is this UN anecdote doing the rounds on the net

An ingenious example of speech and politics occurred recently in the United Nations Assembly that made the world community smile.

A representative from India began : ‘Before beginning my speech I want to tell you something about Rishi Kashyap of Kashmir, after whom Kashmir is named. When he struck a rock and it brought forth water, he thought, ‘What a good opportunity to have a bath.’

He removed his clothes, put them aside on the rock and entered the water.

When he got out and wanted to dress, his clothes had vanished.. A Pakistani had stolen them.’

The Pakistani representative jumped up furiously and shouted, ‘What are you talking about? The Pakistanis weren’t there then.’

The Indian representative smiled and said, ‘And now that we have made that clear, I will begin my speech.

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8 comments on “Resolving Kashmir

  1. Dinesh Thakur on said:

    We have to be unambiguous about two things.

    One Pakistan will leave no stone unturned to keep the cycle of violence going in Kashmir even when it is burning internally. The S wing of ISI is working overtime to achieve this congruence.

    Second, unless the separatists who are running a rolling business out of the quigmire, are drained out financially there will always be more paid stone pelting issues at hand.

    The armed forces too need to play an active role in marginalising inimical forces througha credible perception management campaign as the state apparatus seems unable to handle this assignment.

    US will have to court Pakistan for the time being so expecting much out of them may not be pragmatic.

  2. Sultan Geelani on said:

    In regard to Kashmir….it must be noted that Obama will raise this matter (in private of course), principally to say, “India has a choice, either it submits to a UN brokered solution of Kashmir and saves face or else the 11000 Chinese troops now technically inside the Kashmir area (to begin with!!?), may well provide quiet support to the Jehadi groups and steadily bleed India.”

    And do remember that Lashkar e Toiba and CIA are also in kahoots (David Headly case in 26/11 should convincingly demonstrate this) for myterious reasons as USA shows vigour only against Al-Quaeda. So USA and China are not really in agreement on the Indian protestations. The reverse is definitely nearer the truth. So India has to act or else….

    This sort of thing happened to USSR and USA in Afghanistan and they have been bled white!!

  3. The only reason the problem exists in the valley is because everyone knows the leadership is soft and can be bullied .

    Enough . Its time for a demographic change . If Pakistan can do it in Gilgit and Baluchistan ; if China can do it in Tibet and Sinkiang so can we .

    Give the muslims of the valley their haversack dinner and point them towards POK .
    I assure you the stonepelters will go home overnight .

    • Sultan Geelani on said:

      Pakistan did try to give India an opportunity to follow just the above agenda of Jolly but “India did not oblige.” The opportunity was as follows:

      India had concentrated the largest than ever number of its forces on Pakistan border AND along the line of control, following an attack on Indian Parliament allegedly by Lashkar toiba terrorists on December 13, 2001. To retaliate, India put into effect the largest mobilization of its forces which went on for months, as mobilizations of that order are not completed in a few weeks.

      When, the Indian offensive mobilization was fully achieved during the PRECEDING SIX MONTHS, and the Indian military were fully poised to STRIKE terror in the hearts of the Pakistanis, the military upstarts of Pakistan invited death and destruction upon themselves by sending the LeT terrorists behind the Indian lines on May 14, 2002. They killed 34 Indian military people behind the lines 26/11 fashion and mostly retreated.

      HERE WAS THE OPPORTUNITY FOR INDIA TO BE THE LORD AND MASTER OF SOUTH ASIA BY FINISHING PAKISTAN!! But India only retaliated by expelling Pakistan’ High Commisioner, on May 18, and by bravely killing Abdul Ghani Lone a Kashmiri freedom fighter on May 21. On May 22, Mr Vajpayee exhorted his Battle Ready troops to be ready for the “decisive battle.” But as mystery would have it the battle of destiny was ducked by the Indians!! FOR THREE DAYS ALL WAS SILENT. Beginning May 24, till June 7, Pakistanis “tested” their Ghori and assorted other nuclear missiles, and shot down an Indian plane over Lahore.

      There was silence. then General Musharraf offered an undertaking that Pakistan will not allow terrorist activity against India from Pakistan. In the next three days, between June 7 to June 10, the Indian war ships retreated from Pakistan coast line and both countries removed air space restrictions. INDIANS BEGAN THEIR RETREAT FROM PAKISTAN BORDERS AND BY OCTOBER ALL INDIAN FORCES WERE BACK IN THEIR NORMAL BARRACKS!!

      WAS INDIAN MILTARY OVERCOME BY THE BATTLES OF PANIPAT SYNDROME?!! OVER TO YOU JOLLY!!

      • Thank you Sultan Sahab .
        Had it been ‘over to me’ it would have been over with Kargil .
        The syndrome has nothing to do with the army , it has everything to do with our leadership which finds it necessarry to apologise to the world for Indias existance .

        If they had their way they would move the Indian tectonic plate back to Africa with profound apologise to China /Pakistan for having disturbed their Asian plate .
        Hmm , I wonder which plate Kashmir belongs to …

        • Sultan Geelani on said:

          The great Hindu civilization turned its spirit to inward contemplation while the others i.e., Muslims and after their decline the Anglo-Saxons focussed their spiritual vigour to the world of phenomena. The Indians who continue to remain contemplative deep down [you call it apologetic] they lack the investment of spirit which animates the fighting stamina to conquer the world. It was this spiritual stamina which carried Baber’s 12000 men to inflict defeat on Rana Sangha’s fresh 80,000 Rajputs, at Paniput. And Americans awakened this Jinnei out of the bottle in Afghanistan to fight USSR and got landed with it, after USSR was down and out; they are now facing military ignominy in their turn!!

          Kargil was an Indian achievment only by the grace and favour of Clinton; without it the Indian military goose was as good as cooked. HOWEVER INDIAN AND PAKISTANI ARMIES ARE THIRD RATE REPLICAS OF THE ANGLO-SAXON MILITARY CONSISTING OF PAID SOLDIERS, THEY RELY ON FIRE POWER ALONE. They have no spirit!!

          These are matters of higher military wisdom — not everyone understands them, Jolly. Let me repeat what I said above. Baber’s 12000 rode some two thousand miles from Uzbekistan and went straight into battle to fight many times their number of fresh Indian warriors and won decisively. To put it in terms of Hindu mysticism Baber’s men had become adept at using their ‘PRANA’ in the battlefield. Rana Sangha’s Rajputs were a creation only of RAJNEETI.

          • the hindus of the indian govt may be contemplating their navel …the army isn’t . The spiritual vigour of 93000 of islams spiritually vigorous warriors was wanting in ’71 as they enjoyed our hospitality for almost a year in camps specially set up for them .

            Oh ! And Babur defeated another vigorous islamic warrior ,ibrahim lodi at panipat in 1526 . Sanghas battle happened at chausa, 1527…the rajputs knew how to die , but not how to win . Probably a lesson learnt from the mahabarat war when Abhimanyu knew how to get into the chakravu but not how to get out of it . Funny that!

            And Kargil had nothing to do with clinton …just blood and guts .

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